Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.185978 0.218636 0.255085 0.298745 0.349592 0.406909 0.476398
2025-10-19 0.140485 0.183531 0.236575 0.306603 0.396487 0.507845 0.656162
2025-10-26 0.112026 0.158340 0.219768 0.306914 0.427057 0.586540 0.813990
2025-11-02 0.089974 0.135785 0.200374 0.297616 0.439803 0.639524 0.940712
2025-11-09 0.072600 0.116078 0.180758 0.283344 0.441244 0.674201 1.042920
2025-11-16 0.062685 0.105517 0.172349 0.283358 0.462142 0.737563 1.192399
2025-11-23 0.053170 0.093890 0.160303 0.275435 0.468781 0.778725 1.310917
2025-11-30 0.047855 0.088282 0.156935 0.280666 0.496486 0.855129 1.492983
2025-12-07 0.042578 0.081877 0.151215 0.280860 0.515228 0.918091 1.658632
2025-12-14 0.037157 0.074365 0.142471 0.274380 0.521136 0.959201 1.790161
2025-12-21 0.033292 0.069191 0.137217 0.273409 0.536481 1.017831 1.958100
2025-12-28 0.031645 0.068098 0.139413 0.286609 0.579431 1.130237 2.235452
2026-01-04 0.030227 0.067501 0.142935 0.303742 0.633760 1.272911 2.592185
2026-01-11 0.027952 0.064810 0.141998 0.312003 0.672009 1.389991 2.914639
2026-01-18 0.025235 0.060716 0.137569 0.312345 0.694004 1.477316 3.187419
2026-01-25 0.022084 0.055128 0.129141 0.302890 0.694021 1.519828 3.372620
2026-02-01 0.018999 0.049187 0.119079 0.288374 0.681052 1.533496 3.497951
2026-02-08 0.017295 0.046318 0.115609 0.288388 0.700381 1.617987 3.785393
2026-02-15 0.015300 0.042394 0.109099 0.280329 0.700060 1.659100 3.980654
2026-02-22 0.014292 0.040866 0.108177 0.285649 0.731869 1.775642 4.359808
2026-03-01 0.013116 0.038698 0.105357 0.285847 0.751239 1.865465 4.686169
2026-03-08 0.011743 0.035763 0.100160 0.279255 0.752884 1.913565 4.918087
2026-03-15 0.010767 0.033799 0.097248 0.278267 0.768652 1.997287 5.245675